Have you ever seen an 8 metre wave?

[kraley]

Won't be 8 metres today, the swell is comming from a second low pressure system further out at sea, it will start to hit tomorrow and be pumping with a real long period by thursday, sorry guys but its looking pretty straight, throw the boards in the car and travel
winds won't be 60knot plus by the looks of things, maybe half.
this stupid "weather event" is so noone can blame the bureau of meterology, there is zero wind here now and no rain, if one low pressure a few hundred kays off the coast turns into 4 directly over newcastle then we will see this end of the world weather prediction,.

edit: definatley rain tonight, theres a rugby match on

hmmm.... we are already seeing gusts to 50knots in sydney at north head - blowing your call up 2 hours before the peak passes.

the wind and rain arrived on time at about 3:30pm - just like predicted - the forecast seems pretty spot on so far. anyone stoopid enough to follow your advice would be in pretty deep crapola in sydney right now......

[Occy]

Just got home after sitting in the car at the lookout for half an hour hoping for a break in the weather before it got dark. No such chance. It was absolutely pissing down and I couldn't even see south head. And the winds were absolutely howling (must have been 60 or 60 kph at least) out there on the headland. If the weather does improve I'll be back out there again tomorrow though. Gonna take the Manly Ferry over too so I can enjoy the swell across the heads.

[Ado]

I can assure you that the wind gusts were every bit of 100 km/h down here around 2pm. I had real trouble standing up. Expect VERY bad weather in Sydney any time now.

It has eased here to maybe 60 km/h. Swell at the shore was as big as I've seen it, perhaps 5-6m and that's after it bent 90o from south to east. I'd bet it was every bit of 8m at Montague Island. I'll try to post some photos, but very hard to take them given the wind and spray.

[kayakone]

And the winds were absolutely howling (must have been 60 or 60 kph at least) out there on the headland.

What is it Occy ... 60 or 60? You've been drinking again.

trev

[bnsyak]

kraley, the low did exactly what it was supposed to do for newcastle, went offshore, there was not catastrophic winds, it was a little windy but not even gale force,
those in newcastle will agree, we have rain here now but its only rain, water from the sky, not flooding, not the storm to end all storms, not much wind here yet.
I do hope those in victoria have survived without much damage, they copped the brunt of it, nothing like the rest if australia,

that forecast i posted was only for newcastle, imo sydney should sink into the ocean and create a giant artificial reef for all to enjoy.

[kraley]

kraley, the low did exactly what it was supposed to do for newcastle, went offshore, there was not catastrophic winds, it was a little windy but not even gale force,

are you sure you understand how this works? The low is just getting ready to hit you - it is already gusting up to 50 knots at norah head. Your forecast hasn't changed at all. It didn't go offshore - if the model is correct it just hasn't arrived yet.

those in newcastle will agree, we have rain here now but its only rain, water from the sky, not flooding, not the storm to end all storms, not much wind here yet.

do check in about midnight. And be ready to tell me how you didn't get any wind to speak of.

that forecast i posted was only for newcastle, imo sydney should sink into the ocean and create a giant artificial reef for all to enjoy.

I wonder how we will manage to cry ourselves to sleep tonight knowing your true feelings.

[Bludymick]

kraley, the low did exactly what it was supposed to do for newcastle, went offshore, there was not catastrophic winds, it was a little windy but not even gale force,
those in newcastle will agree, we have rain here now but its only rain, water from the sky, not flooding, not the storm to end all storms, not much wind here yet.
I do hope those in victoria have survived without much damage, they copped the brunt of it, nothing like the rest if australia,

that forecast i posted was only for newcastle, imo sydney should sink into the ocean and create a giant artificial reef for all to enjoy.

Was wondering what it's like outside. 2 weeks in this place
What's happening outside lol it's dark and cannot make anything outbe

Watching the bom radar, I don't think it looked as bad as june floods a few years ago not as much reds and blacks as back then
We are nearly ready knock down rebuild and a good flood may have been good for us
Doh

[kayakone]

Ken is spot on bnsyak.

Forecasts are only that... a cast into the future, aka ..what might happen. Observations are different. They are real time data, what is actually happening on the water/land at that time.

If you care to go to BOM, click on NSW.

Click on ... 'All obsevations'

Click on ... 'NSW observations / via clickable map'

Click on ... several places south of Sydney/ Newcastle.

There is an increasing trend of strengthening winds. Regardless of what happens over the next few hours (and understand this - weather patterns/wind strengths can change dramatically in a short time period - witness aviation forecasts and observations every half-hourly or so, you can be assured there will be considerable if not large swells and non-kayak friendly conditions wind wise.

Can't wait to see the pics from Occy and others.

trev

[kraley]

and....we have 40 knots confirmed at nobby's head, newcastle. All in the last 15 minutes. Went from 0 to 40.

[patwah]

that forecast i posted was only for newcastle, imo sydney should sink into the ocean and create a giant artificial reef for all to enjoy.

[Ado]

Can't wait to see the pics from Occy and others.

Flagrant cross promotion. My thread is better. Now with pics.
http://www.akff.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=55287

[kayakone]

and....we have 40 knots confirmed at nobby's head, newcastle. All in the last 15 minutes. Went from 0 to 40.

and

that forecast I posted was only for newcastle, imo sydney should sink into the ocean and create a giant artificial reef for all to enjoy.

U-MAD-BRO-Arnold-300x298.jpg

NO, 'bnsyak' is simply less experienced in weather reading, than you guys are, and in common with many guys/gals on the forum. Weather reading is a science (4 years at Uni level - I think?)

So 'bnsyak', don't stress, because we mean no criticism of your level of weather knowledge ... it is a thing learned from experience and teaching. This whole discussion has prompted me to repost a thread on reading weather. It is a undoubtedly a science, and a thread of the intracies of understanding it, will possibly not go astray.

Please allow me a few days. I will make it a mission.

trev

[patwah]

Trev, my comment purely was based on his want for Sydney to become a reef. We have so many fine members from Sydney, most of them called Dave, and we don't want them to become FADs, the white horse needs a feed.

[sbd]

I'm all for Sydney becoming a reef, but I live on top of a hill. I'm thinkin' waterfront, & fishing from my loggia.

Being Dave is the new fad.

[kayakone]

I'm all for Sydney becoming a reef, but I live on top of a hill. I'm thinkin' waterfront, & fishing from my loggia.

Being Dave is the new fad.

Cruel bastard. Except I know you're kidding.
































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